Oscar Predictions: Here’s How to Win Your Oscar Pool

Oscar Predictions: Here’s How to Win Your Oscar Pool

The 96th Academy Awards will be handed out this Sunday, March 10th. Many of the 23 categories have definite frontrunners, while others are ripe for surprises. Read below for our take on who will – and should – win each of those races, and use these picks to beat everyone else you know!

Oppenheimer (Universal Pictures)

Best Picture

American Fiction

Anatomy of a Fall

Barbie

The Holdovers

Killers of the Flower Moon

Maestro

Oppenheimer

Past Lives

Poor Things

The Zone of Interest

 

Should win: Poor Things

Will win: Oppenheimer

Spoiler: Barbie

Fun fact: This is the first time that three films primarily in languages other than English contend in this race: Anatomy of a Fall, Past Lives, and The Zone of Interest.

 

Best Director

Jonathan Glazer (The Zone of Interest)

Christopher Nolan (Oppenheimer)

Yorgos Lanthimos (Poor Things)

Martin Scorsese (Killers of the Flower Moon)

Justine Triet (Anatomy of a Fall)

 

Should win: Lanthimos

Will win: Nolan

Spoiler: Triet

Fun fact: Despite being cited by the Directors Guild of America for Memento, The Dark Knight, and Inception, this is only the second time Nolan has been nominated in this Oscar category, following Dunkirk.

Rustin
Rustin. (L to R) Jeffrey Mackenzie Jordan as Courtney and Colman Domingo as Bayard Rustin. Cr. Parrish Lewis/Netflix © 2023

Best Actor

Bradley Cooper (Maestro)

Colman Domingo (Rustin)

Paul Giamatti (The Holdovers)

Cillian Murphy (Oppenheimer)

Jeffrey Wright (American Fiction)

 

Should win: Giamatti

Will win: Murphy

Spoiler: Giamatti

Fun fact: This is the second Oscar nomination for Giamatti, who was unexpectedly snubbed nineteen years ago for his prior collaboration with director Alexander Payne, Sideways.

 

Best Actress

Annette Bening (NYAD)

Lily Gladstone (Killers of the Flower Moon)

Sandra Hüller (Anatomy of a Fall)

Carey Mulligan (Maestro)

Emma Stone (Poor Things)

 

Should win: Stone

Will win: Gladstone

Spoiler: Stone

Fun fact: Bening received her first Oscar nomination in 1990 for The Grifters and, despite three successive nominations for American Beauty, Being Julia, and The Kids Are All Right, she has yet to win.

 

Best Supporting Actor

Sterling K. Brown (American Fiction)

Robert De Niro (Killers of the Flower Moon)

Robert Downey Jr. (Oppenheimer)

Ryan Gosling (Barbie)

Mark Ruffalo (Poor Things)

 

Should win: Ruffalo

Will win: Downey

Spoiler: Gosling

Fun fact: De Niro received his first-ever Oscar nomination – and win – in this category forty-nine years ago for The Godfather Part II.

The Color Purple, Danielle
Danielle Brooks in the Color Purple (Warner Bros)

Best Supporting Actress

Emily Blunt (Oppenheimer)

Danielle Brooks (The Color Purple)

America Ferrera (Barbie)

Jodie Foster (NYAD)

Da’Vine Joy Randolph (The Holdovers)

 

Should win: Randolph

Will win: Randolph

Spoiler: Ferrera

Fun fact: This is the first nomination for everyone except Foster, who earned her first nomination forty-seven years ago for Taxi Driver, costarring De Niro.

 

Best Original Screenplay

Anatomy of a Fall

The Holdovers

Maestro

May December

Past Lives

 

Should win: The Holdovers

Will win: Anatomy of a Fall

Spoiler: The Holdovers

Fun fact: Before Parasite triumphed here in 2019, the last foreign-language winner of this prize was Talk to Her in 2002.

Erika Alexander stars as Coraline and Jeffrey Wright as Thelonious “Monk” Ellison in writer/director Cord Jefferson’s AMERICAN FICTION. An Orion Pictures Release. Photo credit: Claire Folger © 2023 Orion Releasing LLC. All Rights Reserved.

Best Adapted Screenplay

American Fiction

Barbie

Oppenheimer

Poor Things

The Zone of Interest

 

Should win: American Fiction

Will win: American Fiction

Spoiler: Barbie

Fun fact: In addition to being Cord Jefferson’s directorial debut, American Fiction also marks his first screenplay.

 

Best Cinematography

El Conde

Killers of the Flower Moon

Maestro

Oppenheimer

Poor Things

 

Should win: Poor Things

Will win: Oppenheimer

Spoiler: Poor Things

Fun fact: Killers of the Flower Moon cinematographer Rodrigo Prieto also shot another high-profile movie this year: Barbie.

Poor Things
Emma Stone in POOR THINGS. Photo by Yorgos Lanthimos. Courtesy of Searchlight Pictures. © 2023 20th Century Studios All Rights Reserved.

Best Production Design

Barbie

Killers of the Flower Moon

Napoleon

Oppenheimer

Poor Things

 

Should win: Poor Things

Will win: Poor Things

Spoiler: Barbie

Fun fact: This list is a carbon copy of the Best Costume Design, something that has only happened twice before in Oscar history: in 2003 and 1969.

 

Best Costume Design

Barbie

Killers of the Flower Moon

Napoleon

Oppenheimer

Poor Things

 

Should win: Poor Things

Will win: Poor Things

Spoiler: Barbie

Fun fact: Napoleon costume designer Janty Yates won this award in 2000 for another collaboration with director Ridley Scott and actor Joaquin Phoenix: Gladiator.

Oscar contenders : Anatomy of a fall
Anatomy of a Fall (NEON)

Best Film Editing

Anatomy of a Fall

The Holdovers

Killers of the Flower Moon

Oppenheimer

Poor Things

 

Should win: Poor Things

Will win: Oppenheimer

Spoiler: Anatomy of a Fall

Fun fact: Killers of the Flower Moon editor Thelma Schoonmaker has been working with director Martin Scorsese since his 1967 directorial debut, racking up seven previous nominations and three wins, for Raging Bull, The Aviator, and The Departed.

 

Best Original Score

American Fiction

Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny

Killers of the Flower Moon

Oppenheimer

Poor Things

 

Should win: Oppenheimer

Will win: Oppenheimer

Spoiler: Poor Things

Fun fact: Indiana Jones composer John Williams has received fifty-four Oscar nominations dating back to 1967, resulting in five wins: Fiddler on the Roof, Jaws, Star Wars, E.T. The Extra-Terrestrial, and Schindler’s List.

Barbie, ken
Ryan Gosling in Barbie (Warner Bros)

Best Original Song

“It Never Went Away” from American Symphony

“I’m Just Ken” from Barbie

“What Was I Made For?” from Barbie

“The Fire Inside” from Flamin’ Hot

“Wahzhazhe (A Song for My People)” from Killers of the Flower Moon

 

Should win: I’m Just Ken

Will win: I’m Just Ken

Spoiler: What Was I Made For?

Fun fact: This is the fifteenth career and seventh consecutive nomination in this category for “The Fire Inside” songwriter Diane Warren, who has yet to win.

 

Best Sound

The Creator

Maestro

Mission: Impossible – Dead Reckoning Part One

Oppenheimer

The Zone of Interest

 

Should win: Oppenheimer

Will win: Oppenheimer

Spoiler: The Zone of Interest

Fun fact: Along with its Best Visual Effects bid, Mission: Impossible – Dead Reckoning Part One here earns the first-ever Oscar bid for any film in the franchise that started in 1996.

 

Best Makeup and Hairstyling

Golda

Maestro

Oppenheimer

Poor Things

Society of the Snow

 

Should win: Maestro

Will win: Maestro

Spoiler: Poor Things

Fun fact: All but Poor Things recreate real people: Israeli Prime Minister Golda Meir, composer Leonard Bernstein, physicist J. Robert Oppenheimer, and the passengers of Uruguayan Air Force Flight 571.

Hayley Atwell and Tom Cruise in Mission: Impossible – Dead Reckoning Part One (Paramount Pictures)

Best Visual Effects

The Creator

Godzilla Minus One

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3

Mission: Impossible – Dead Reckoning Part One

Napoleon

 

Should win: The Creator

Will win: Godzilla Minus One

Spoiler: The Creator

Fun fact: No Marvel Cinematic Universe film has won this award despite twelve previous nominations, including the first two Guardians of the Galaxy films.

 

Best Animated Feature

The Boy and the Heron

Elemental

Nimona

Robot Dreams

Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse

 

Should win: Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse

Will win: Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse

Spoiler: The Boy and the Heron

Fun fact: The only two sequels to win this prize since its inception in 2001 are Toy Story 3 and Toy Story 4. The original Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse won this award two years ago.

 

Best Animated Short

Letter to a Pig

Ninety-Five Senses

Our Uniform

Pachyderme

War Is Over!

 

Should win: Ninety-Five Senses

Will win: Ninety-Five Senses

Spoiler: Letter to a Pig

Fun fact: The dramatic short film Ninety-Five Senses comes from married filmmakers Jared and Jerusha Hess, best known for Napoleon Dynamite.

Four Daughters
Four Daughters (Kino Lorber)

Best Documentary Feature

Bobi Wine: The People’s President

The Eternal Memory

Four Daughters

To Kill a Tiger

20 Days in Mariupol

 

Should win: Four Daughters

Will win: Four Daughters

Spoiler: 20 Days in Mariupol

Fun fact: Both Four Daughters and 20 Days in Mariupol also made the Oscar shortlist for Best International Feature, representing Tunisia and Ukraine, respectively.

 

Best Documentary Short

The ABCs of Book Banning

The Barber of Little Rock

Island in Between

The Last Repair Shop

Nǎi Nai & Wài Pó

 

Should win: The Barber of Little Rock

Will win: Nǎi Nai & Wài Pó

Spoiler: The Last Repair Shop

Fun fact: Kris Bowers and Ben Proudfoot, who collaborated on The Last Repair Shop, were last nominated in 2020 in this category for directing A Concerto is a Conversation. Proudfoot also won in 2021 for The Queen of Basketball.

The Zone of Interest
The Zone of Interest (A24)

 

Best International Feature

Germany, The Teachers’ Lounge

Italy, Io capitano

Japan, Perfect Days

Spain, Society of the Snow

United Kingdom, The Zone of Interest

 

Should win: The Zone of Interest

Will win: The Zone of Interest

Spoiler: Society of the Snow

Fun fact: This is the third-ever nomination for the United Kingdom in this category, eligible here because The Zone of Interest includes German, Polish, and Yiddish.

 

Best Live Action Short

The After

Invincible

Red, White and Blue

Knight of Fortune

The Wonderful Story of Henry Sugar

 

Should win: The Wonderful Story of Henry Sugar

Will win: Red, White and Blue

Spoiler: The Wonderful Story of Henry Sugar

Fun fact: This marks the eighth career nomination for Henry Sugar director Wes Anderson, who has yet to win an Oscar.

Watch the Oscars live on Sunday, March 10th at 7pm ET/4pm PT on ABC.

Check out more of Abe Friedtanzer’s articles.

Comment (0)

LEAVE A REPLY

Please enter your comment!
Please enter your name here